Bookmaker takes bets on impact of climate change on polar bears

By staff writers
December 14, 2009

Ireland’s largest bookmaker Paddy Power is taking bets on the estimated global polar bear population on 31 December 2011 according to the world's largest independent conservation organization, the WWF.

WWF runs schemes which enable people to adopt and sponsor polar bears, to help in their preservation.

The current WWF estimate places the polar bear population between 20,000 and 25,000 however Paddy Power’s odds predict a sharp decline in their population over the next two years and are offering odds of 13/8 that the number dips between 15,000 to 20,000.

The bookie is also offering odds on the number of critically endangered species that will appear on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species in 2010 with between 3501 and 4000 the 11/8 favourite.

Paddy Power said “With global warming now generally agreed to be the most significant threat to the polar bear we predict that their population will move in only one direction. Punters seem to share this view as we are yet to take a single bet on the polar bear population increasing”

WWF Polar Bear estimate on 31 December 2011

20/1 Under 10,000
8/1 10,000 - 15,000
13/8 15,000 - 20,000
7/4 20,000 - 25,000
9/4 25,000 - 30,000
4/1 Over 30,000

2010 Number of Critically Endangered species?
8/1 Under 3000
7/4 3000 - 3500
11/8 3501 - 4000
5/2 Over 4000

*According to the IUCN Red List

You can adopt a polar bear through WWF here

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