Ethics election poll watch: Hung parliament on cards as race tightens but 'others' losing ground (ComRes)

Ethics election poll watch: Hung parliament on cards as race tightens but 'others' losing ground (ComRes)

The ComRes poll for tomorrow's Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror shows a tighter race between the big 3 parties, but has 'others' losing ground significantly:

Con 34% (-1)
Lib Dem 29% (+2)
Lab 28% (+3)
Other 9% (-4)

(compared with most recent ComRes poll published 21 April)

This leaves the Conservatives short by 55 of a majority on www.electoralcalculus.co.uk as follows:

Con 271
Lab 254
LD 93

Andrew Hawkins, chairman of ComRes points out:

· Overall it looks like the Lib Dems had a very modest boost from Thursday night although Gordon Brown’s performance has clearly boosted his party’s rating

· Turnout looks set to be really quite high – 66% say ‘absolutely certain’ to vote, the highest registered of this campaign

· The number of people who are ‘absolutely certain’ to vote but who are undecided about who to vote for now stands at 3.3million British adults. This compares with 2.5m last week and 5m the previous week ie pre-first debate

· Lib Dem support is still strongest among the younger age groups – 41% among 18-24s

· Labour is ahead among C2s and DEs ie its core social groups while 35% of ABs say they’ll vote Lib Dem

· The Lib Dem figures are particularly strong in the North of England – this is entirely consistent with their instant poll on Thursday evening

Methodology note: ComRes telephoned a random sample of 1006 GB adults on 23-24 April 2010. Data were weighted to be representative of all adults and by past vote. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comres.co.uk



Ekklesia is reporting on the polls from a perspective in line with our 'ethics election' initiative. This will include specifically highlighting what's happening to the smaller parties and 'others' who often get ignored in the polls, but could be important in a balanced/ hung Parliament. We do not support or endorse betting on poll results. We have also suggested that this election there is likely to be a significant disparity in the polls

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